Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)


	Yanbian Longding		Jinan Xingzhou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.15	3.89
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.89	3.34	4.05	Watch
	1.92	3.1	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.27)	3.15 ↑ (3)	4.02 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
48.3%

Draw
29%

Jinan Xingzhou
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

31.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanbian Longding's performance.

Jinan Xingzhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jinan Xingzhou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanbian Longding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jinan Xingzhou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Yanbian Longding - Jinan Xingzhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Yanbian Longding will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Jinan Xingzhou will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yanbian Longding: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Dong Jialin (G) 16. Gong Hankui 3. Wang Peng 26. Xu Wenguang 7. Han Guanghui 31. Qian Changjie 2. Wang Chengkuai 20. Jin Taiyan 10. Ivo 14. Li L. 9. Valdumar	16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 17. Xu Jizu 33. Ye Chongqiu 19. Ma Chongchong 23. Bai Jiajun 4. Liu Boyang 20. Shohret R. 10. Wang Zihao 37. Yi Xianlong 27. Fernando Karanga 18. Tambe R.
Substitutes
18. Jin Chengjun 23. Khedrup Lobsang 6. Li Qiang 17. Li Shibin 39. Liu Bo 15. Ruan Da Silva Chagas M. 1. Salajidin Akramjan (G) 8. Sun Jun 36. Wang B. 30. Yang Jingfan 38. Zhang Y. 11. Zhou Bingxu	12. Li Suda 1. Mu Qianyu (G) 31. Tan Tiancheng 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 26. Yu Jianfeng 41. Zeng Yaozhang 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 21. Zhang Yi 28. Zhong Weihong
Coaches
Kim Bong-Gil	Wei Xin

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 6).

Yanbian Longding is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jinan Xingzhou is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Yanbian Longding won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Yanbian Longding won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
02.09.23	Nanjing City - Yanbian Longding	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	3:2 ✺
05.08.23	Yanbian Longding - Dandong Tengyue	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLT
- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
02.09.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Jinan Xingzhou	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
20.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Jinan Xingzhou	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Yanbian Longding	2:0
Chinese Yi League
09.11.22	Yanbian Longding - Jinan Xingzhou	1:4
09.08.22	Yanbian Longding - Jinan Xingzhou	1:0
15.07.22	Jinan Xingzhou - Yanbian Longding	4:0

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