Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Nanhai District Stadium (Foshan)


	Dongguan Guanlian		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.56	3.96	6.06
	1.53	3.5	5.8
	1.55	3.88	5.8
	1.56	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.87)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	5.52 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dongguan Guanlian
58.9%

Draw
24.5%

Liaoning Tieren
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dongguan Guanlian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dongguan Guanlian's performance.

Liaoning Tieren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liaoning Tieren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dongguan Guanlian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liaoning Tieren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Dongguan Guanlian - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dongguan Guanlian will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Zhang X. (G) 14. Yao Xilong 6. Feng Xiaoting 23. Loe R. 22. Zhao Mingjian 21. Cui Xinglong 26. Su Shihao 8. Ruan Jun 28. Zhang Xingbo 30. Huang Chuqi 10. Onuegbu K.	39. Li Xuebo (G) 8. Han Tianlin 10. Yang Jian 24. Musa S. I. 11. Bai Zijian 18. Palacios B. D. 6. Wu Y. 33. Li Shuai 35. Min Yinhan 45. Liu Xinyu 7. Liu Ziming
Substitutes
9. Beshathan Zanhar 27. Chen H. 1. Chen Junxu (G) 35. He Mingli 18. Li Canming 32. Ma Junliang 15. Sun D. 11. Wu Jianfei 42. Wu Y. 25. Yang Yang 2. Zhang Sijie 36. Zhong Ziqin	3. Chen Yangle 22. Fan Y. (G) 41. Lei Yongchi 19. Luo Andong 34. Mao Ziyu 15. Mutanllip Sheriazat 29. Omoh M. 30. Qian Junhao 2. Wang Tianci 27. Xiao Chenya 17. Xin Hongjun 25. Yu Shang
Coaches
Wang Hongwei	Duan X.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shenyang Urban could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dongguan Guanlian have a series of guest games.

Recently Shenyang Urban have a series of home games.

In this match Dongguan Guanlian is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dongguan Guanlian won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
06.08.23	Nanjing City - Dongguan Guanlian	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Wuxi Wugou - Dongguan Guanlian	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Dongguan Guanlian	3:4 ✺
16.07.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Ningbo Professional - Dongguan Guanlian	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWTT
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
05.08.23	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:1 ✺
23.07.23	Nanjing City - Liaoning Tieren	4:0 ✺
15.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	3:1 ✺
08.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
07.05.23	Liaoning Tieren - Dongguan Guanlian	3:0

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