Match Info

Date: 12 February 2020, Wednesday


	Dorados		Juárez

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75
	2.45	2.95	2.8
	2.6	2.95	2.7
	2.45	2.92	2.63
	2.63	3.1	2.81
	2.5	3.1	2.7
	2.61	3.3	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.48)	3.07 ↓ (3.09)	2.74 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
36.3%

Draw
30%

Juárez
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.9%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

21.3%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Juárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorados that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juárez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dorados - Juárez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.02.20	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	1:1 ✺
31.01.20	Atlante - Dorados	2:1 ✺
Copa Mexico
28.01.20	Dorados - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.20	Dorados - Correcaminos UAT	0:3 ✺
Copa Mexico
21.01.20	Chivas Guadalajara - Dorados	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLLLW
- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
09.02.20	Juárez - Necaxa	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Club América - Juárez	1:3 ✺
Copa Mexico
29.01.20	Juárez - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.01.20	Juárez - Monarcas Morelia	3:0 ✺
Copa Mexico
21.01.20	Querétaro - Juárez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.03.19	Dorados - Juárez	1:0
24.11.18	Juárez - Dorados	1:0
21.11.18	Dorados - Juárez	2:0
04.08.18	Juárez - Dorados	3:0
03.02.18	Juárez - Dorados	1:1
26.08.17	Dorados - Juárez	1:1
29.04.17	Dorados - Juárez	0:2

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