Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tecnológico de Oaxaca (Oaxaca de Juárez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alebrijes de Oaxaca		Dorados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.20
	2.05	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.17	3.78	3.48
	2.02	3.66	3.39	Watch
	2.06	3.7	3.2
	2.14	3.48	3.18	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.79)	3.48 ↓ (3.59)	3.29 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
44.9%

Draw
26.8%

Dorados
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorados's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Dorados will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alebrijes de Oaxaca: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Alvarez K.
11. Andrey Marcos
6. Arellano A.
20. Ayala D.
8. Barreda I.
19. Fadika B.
23. Hernandez A.
5. Lopez E.
12. Reyes J.
1. Rodas C. (G)
14. Vazquez Hernandez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Alvarez K. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Rengifo J. ⚽, Galicia C. (A),
40', 0 - 2, Egana A. ⚽, Galicia C. (A),
42', Arellano A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ayala D. ↓, Arreola M. ↑,
46', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
46', Lopez E. ↓, Villa P. ↑,
48', Galicia C. 🟨,
65', Flores A. ↓, Castillo C. ↑,
65', Galicia C. ↓, Guajardo D. ↑,
65', Contreras F. ↓, Franco R. ↑,
73', Castro C. 🟨,
79', Vargas L. ↓, Ordorica B. ↑,
81', Hernandez A. ↓, Valdez A. ↑,
84', Castro C. ↓, Gonzalez Rodriguez W. ↑,
86', Arellano A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
87', Rengifo J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3.

Dorados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alebrijes de Oaxaca is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:9. (average 2.5:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.07.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLT
- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.04.26	Dorados - Tapatío	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Tlaxcala - Dorados	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dorados - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Atlante - Dorados	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Dorados - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:2
20.09.25	Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:2
19.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	2:2
02.11.24	Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0
02.04.24	Dorados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:3
27.09.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	4:0
25.01.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:0

Upcoming Matches