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Current Win Probability
Dorados 41.3%
Draw 27.5%
Correcaminos UAT 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
32.2%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
31.1%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorados's performance.
Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correcaminos UAT might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorados that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Correcaminos UAT could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
Dorados - Correcaminos UAT Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dorados will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Correcaminos will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Dorados (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorados (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Vaal J. (G) 29. Coronel O. 12. Egana A. 11. Garcia L. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 3. Manriquez S. 20. Osuna D. 9. Rengifo J. 23. Reyes J. (C) 4. Ruiz L. 2. Yanez S.
24. Resendez E. (G) 19. Catalan A. 7. Cisneros D. (C) 9. Delgadillo Y. 22. Di Pippa A. 23. Galindo J. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 13. Moreno G. 2. Ortega W. 25. Torres E. 11. Uribe H.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez J. 21. Castro J. (G) 8. Galicia C. 26. Gutierrez E. 16. Martinez D. 35. Porozo J. 31. Ramos A. 14. Sol M. 28. Suarez L.
106. Aguilar S. 104. Arce R. 1. Castellanos R. (G) 20. Estopier J. 28. Lopez M. 6. Martinez J. 112. Mata J. 33. Mina D. 29. Pineda D. 3. Rubio R.
Coaches
Ramirez F.
Diaz G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rengifo J. ⚽, Coronel O. (A),
28', Reyes J. 🟨,
31', Di Pippa A. 🟨,
37', Galindo J. 🟨,
38', Yanez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Galindo J. ↓, Pineda D. ↑,
53', Coronel O. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
53', Egana A. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
57', Garcia L. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
58', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
58', Uribe H. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
58', Di Pippa A. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
65', Cisneros D. 🟨,
65', Delgadillo Y. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 1 - 1, Delgadillo Y. ⚽,
76', Yanez S. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
76', Rengifo J. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 2.
Dorados is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Correcaminos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Correcaminos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).