Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dorados (Culiacán)

Referee: Negrete Preciado J. M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dorados		Tlaxcala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.40
	2.22	3.15	2.95	Watch
	2.27	3.58	3.15
	2.57	3.4	2.62	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.8
	2.33	3.08	3.18	Watch
	2.22	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	2.86 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
39.3%

Draw
28.3%

Tlaxcala
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Dorados - Tlaxcala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Castro J. (G) 5. Flores A. 4. Franco R. 26. Gutierrez E. (C) 11. Contreras F. 20. Osuna D. 12. Egana A. 6. Guajardo D. 18. Cervantes S. 10. Vargas L. 9. Rengifo J.	30. Nuno A. (G) 1. Govea I. (C) 29. Trejo Castro M. A. 21. Garcia E. 3. Santos E. 23. Gonzalez P. 25. Flores B. 17. Zamudio J. 10. Figueroa F. 19. Camacho Lastra R. E. 11. Alvarez D.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez J. 29. Coronel O. 34. Flores I. (G) 27. Flores M. 8. Galicia C. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 28. Ordorica B. 13. Padilla G. 17. Pena F. 23. Sanchez B.	9. Christian 28. Hernandez D. 7. Hernandez E. 6. Iniestra A. 8. Plascencia F. 27. Ramirez S. (G) 24. Robles E. 20. Sanchez A. 5. Sancho J. 14. Vazquez B.
Coaches
Orozco L.	Ortega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Govea I. ⚽, Alvarez D. (A),
29', Santos E. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
38', Flores A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Alvarez D. ⚽,
45+4', Sanchez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Egana A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
46', Flores A. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
46', Guajardo D. ↓, Pena F. ↑,
56', Alvarez D. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
56', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Christian ↑,
56', Zamudio J. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
61', Osuna D. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Rengifo J. ⚽, Contreras F. (A),
77', Figueroa F. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
80', Contreras F. ↓, Coronel O. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Coronel O. ⚽, Pena F. (A),
90+3', Franco R. 🟨,
90+7', Galicia C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 2.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13
12	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19:23	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.08.26	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2 ✺
30.07.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Dorados - Tapatío	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Tlaxcala - Dorados	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dorados - Correcaminos UAT	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TWWLW
- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.08.26	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tlaxcala	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Tlaxcala - Venados	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.04.26	Tlaxcala - Dorados	2:0
25.10.25	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:1
29.03.25	Tlaxcala - Dorados	3:2
12.10.24	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:0
24.01.24	Tlaxcala - Dorados	0:1
03.10.23	Dorados - Tlaxcala	3:1
14.02.23	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:2

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