Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 38

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: M-Scores Stadion (Dordrecht)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Dordrecht		Volendam

	1	X	2
	2	4.1	3.1	Watch
	1.85	4	3.25
	2	4	3.2	Watch
	2.02	4.05	3.23
	2.06	3.96	3.06	Watch
	1.95	3.8	3.3
	1.99	4.09	3.09	Watch
	2	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.35)	4 ↑ (3.78)	3.18 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dordrecht
47.2%

Draw
23.4%

Volendam
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

25.4%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dordrecht's performance.

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volendam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dordrecht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Dordrecht - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dordrecht will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Volendam will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dordrecht: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Volendam (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dordrecht will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Dordrecht (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Volendam (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Biai C. (G) 3. Valk S. 4. Drakpe A. 17. Akmum R. 2. Codutti L. 6. van Vianen D. 12. Tabiri K. 23. Afaker M. 10. Schuurman J. 11. Pynadath J. 7. Kotzebue V.	16. Ngom K. (G) 2. Beukers D. 28. Esajas S. 32. Leliendal Y. 23. Curiel G. 5. Anita V. 18. Bukala N. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 10. Kuwas B. 11. Oehlers A. 39. Zijlstra M.
Substitutes
13. Baltussen T. (G) 1. Berger M. (G) 9. Haen D. 5. Hilton J. 24. Igor 15. M'Bemba Y. 14. Olde Keizer C. 19. Sanne T. 18. Scholte B. 28. Slory J. 20. van der Sluijs J. 25. Vugts S.	3. Amevor M. 15. Bouziane A. 26. Cabral J. 8. Jacobs Ja. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 19. Mau-Asam M. 4. Mbuyamba X. 12. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 14. Steur D. 20. van Oevelen K. (G) 31. Wong-A-Soij K.
Coaches
Boel M.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Esajas S. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Schuurman J. (Pen),
42', 2 - 0, Afaker M. ⚽, Schuurman J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kotzebue V. ↓, Haen D. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Esajas S. ⚽, Ould-Chikh B. (A),
58', Curiel G. ↓, Steur D. ↑,
58', Beukers D. ↓, Payne D. ↑,
58', Zijlstra M. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
68', Pynadath J. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
68', Afaker M. ↓, Slory J. ↑,
68', Akmum R. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, van der Sluijs J. ⚽,
72', 4 - 1, Schuurman J. ⚽, Slory J. (A),
76', Oehlers A. ↓, Wong-A-Soij K. ↑,
76', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Cabral J. ↑,
77', Valk S. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
78', Tabiri K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Dordrecht is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )

Volendam is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Eredivisie

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1.

In recent matches, Dordrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Volendam is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dordrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dordrecht: Kriwak R. (Knee Injury) Parlanti G. (Yellow Cards) Seydoux L. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:49. (average 1.4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Dordrecht - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.05.25	Jong Utrecht - Dordrecht	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Dordrecht - MVV Maastricht	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	FC Oss - Dordrecht	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	4:0 ✺
04.04.25	Dordrecht - Jong Ajax	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.05.25	Volendam - Roda	3:2 ✺
28.04.25	Jong Utrecht - Volendam	2:3 ✺
20.04.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:4 ✺
14.04.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Volendam - Jong PSV	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.09.24	Volendam - Dordrecht	2:0
29.04.22	Dordrecht - Volendam	3:2
29.10.21	Volendam - Dordrecht	4:2
15.01.21	Dordrecht - Volendam	0:0
23.10.20	Volendam - Dordrecht	7:1
13.09.19	Volendam - Dordrecht	1:1
01.04.19	Volendam - Dordrecht	3:4

Upcoming Matches