Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 36

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Jong Utrecht		Volendam

	1	X	2
	67	8	1.08	Watch
	5	4.4	1.5
	101	8	1.09	Watch
	29	7.7	1.07
	5.53	4.69	1.49	Watch
	5	4.4	1.5
	71	7.95	1.08	Watch
	101	8	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	48.07 ↑ (5.36)	6.64 ↑ (4.67)	1.24 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
2.1%

Draw
15.4%

Volendam
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

20.3%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19.9%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Utrecht's form might have worsened.

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Volendam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Volendam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Jong Utrecht - Volendam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Volendam (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Volendam will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Volendam will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Volendam (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. Ghaddari M. 3. Kooy W. (C) 14. Viereck N. 5. Held N. 6. Jenner I. 10. van der Wegen S. 8. Yah G. 7. Akkerman M. 9. Charalampoglou G. 11. Edhart L.	20. van Oevelen K. (G) 12. Payne D. 4. Mbuyamba X. 3. Amevor M. 32. Leliendal Y. 6. Plat A. 36. de Haan M. 7. Ould-Chikh B. 21. Muhren R. 10. Kuwas B. 9. Veerman H. (C)
Substitutes
18. Agougil O. 12. Boumenjal A. 19. den Boggende T. 31. Dithmer A. (G) 23. Driezen M. 20. Dris S. 24. Kloosterboer P. 16. Menzo B. 15. van Riel J. 21. Varjund T.	5. Anita V. 25. Blondeau L. 18. Bukala N. 23. Curiel G. 28. Esajas S. 8. Jacobs Ja. 22. Lauwers B. (G) 16. Ngom K. (G) 11. Oehlers A. 14. Steur D. 31. Wong-A-Soij K. 39. Zijlstra M.
Coaches
van Dinteren I.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Veerman H. ⚽, Muhren R. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Edhart L. ⚽, van der Wegen S. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Ghaddari M. ⚽, Charalampoglou G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Kuwas B. 🟨,
54', 2 - 2, Veerman H. ⚽,
64', de Haan M. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Veerman H. ⚽,
70', Yah G. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
70', Akkerman M. ↓, Dris S. ↑,
78', Charalampoglou G. ↓, den Boggende T. ↑,
78', van der Wegen S. ↓, Boumenjal A. ↑,
86', Agougil O. 🟨,
87', Veerman H. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
87', Edhart L. ↓, Varjund T. ↑,
87', Kuwas B. ↓, Bukala N. ↑,
90+3', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Curiel G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Volendam is Qualified for Eredivisie

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 1.

Jong Utrecht is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Volendam is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Volendam could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Volendam is a favorite.

There will not play in Jong Utrecht: Van Hees R. (Knee Injury) el Arguioui R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: van der Hoorn M. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.04.25	MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Cambuur - Jong Utrecht	3:1 ✺
07.04.25	Jong Utrecht - ADO Den Haag	1:1 ✺
01.04.25	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Excelsior - Jong Utrecht	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTTL
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.04.25	Volendam - Excelsior	1:4 ✺
14.04.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Volendam - Jong PSV	4:0 ✺
31.03.25	Jong Ajax - Volendam	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Volendam - Cambuur	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.11.24	Volendam - Jong Utrecht	2:0
04.02.22	Volendam - Jong Utrecht	2:0
22.11.21	Jong Utrecht - Volendam	0:1
16.04.21	Jong Utrecht - Volendam	2:3
11.09.20	Volendam - Jong Utrecht	0:1
24.02.20	Jong Utrecht - Volendam	2:1
08.11.19	Volendam - Jong Utrecht	1:0

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