Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 7

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Volendam

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.90	2.32	Watch
	2.60	3.90	2.20
	2.70	3.85	2.10	Watch
	2.62	4.18	2.38
	2.75	4.06	2.21	Watch
	2.50	4.10	2.35
	2.60	3.86	2.35	Watch
	2.55	3.85	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)	3.96 ↑ (3.68)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
35.6%

Draw
23.4%

Volendam
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

24.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

24.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Volendam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Zwart J. 3. Natali A. 4. Elkjaer F. 5. Inge K. 6. Robbemond R. 8. Oerip J. (C) 7. Bergraaf J. 10. de Wit H. 11. de Wit T. 9. Kovacs B.	1. Jurjus H. (G) 2. Ugwu P. 25. Blondeau L. 3. Amevor M. 15. Kleijn M. 18. Bukala N. 8. Huisman D. 7. Doodeman N. 10. Niemeijer R. 11. Wolff K. 9. Veerman H. (C)
Substitutes
20. Budko B. 15. Esajas J. 16. Ka I. (G) 14. Menu M. 17. Roede M. 23. Schipper J. (G) 21. Sijbrands J. 18. Simons S. 22. Toppenberg K. 19. van den Ban Y. 12. van Ouytsel K.	34. Belfqih M. 5. Bisschops D. 14. Deme S. 21. el Meftahi Y. 63. Haakmat J. 67. Ihler F. 12. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 16. Steur R. (G) 29. Tielemans J. 22. Vlak D. (G)
Coaches
Peereboom F.	van de Looi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, de Wit H. ⚽, de Wit T. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Bergraaf J. ⚽, de Wit T. (A),
31', Huisman D. ↓, Plat A. ↑,
31', Amevor M. ↓, Payne D. ↑,
31', Wolff K. ↓, el Meftahi Y. ↑,
44', Robbemond R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Niemeijer R. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
53', Ihler F. 🟨,
61', 3 - 0, Kovacs B. ⚽, de Wit T. (A),
64', Bergraaf J. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
70', 4 - 0, Oerip J. ⚽,
73', Elkjaer F. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
73', Robbemond R. ↓, Sijbrands J. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Ihler F. ⚽, Veerman H. (A),
80', de Wit H. ↓, Budko B. ↑,
80', Kovacs B. ↓, Roede M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Volendam could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Jong AZ has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:26 (averaging 0.8:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jong AZ against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 4:12 goals (averaging 0.7:2 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

FC Volendam: 3.87%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	22:17	5	15
11	Jong AZ	10	4	1	5	22:18	4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.08%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.09.26	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Heracles Almelo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Dordrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:6 ✺
31.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWWL
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.09.26	Volendam - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Emmen - Volendam	5:3 ✺
28.08.26	Volendam - Dordrecht	6:1 ✺
21.08.26	MVV Maastricht - Volendam	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Volendam - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.04.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	0:1
06.12.24	Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0
11.02.22	Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
22.10.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	0:1
12.05.21	Volendam - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1
19.10.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	2:6
10.02.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	1:1

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