Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Miguel Morales (Pergamino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Douglas Haig		Olimpo Bahia Blanca

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.78	3.35
	2.28	2.87	3.49	Watch
	2.25	2.76	3.4	Watch
	2.22	2.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	2.79 ↑ (2.75)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douglas Haig
40.7%

Draw
32.7%

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

33%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

34.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacher E. (G) 8. Baglivo G. L. 6. Bazzana N. 10. Castellano J. 4. Gomez M. 11. Gutierrez S. 3. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 9. Orlando M. 2. Pezzi A. 7. Tus E.	1. Lungarzo J. (G) 7. Amarilla C. 11. Coacci E. 4. Di Buo I. 8. Espejo L. 5. Fernandez S. 3. Ferreyra M. 6. Moiraghi N. 10. Ramirez D. 9. Tarifa G. 2. Vivas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Baglivo G. L. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Baglivo G. L. ⚽,
43', Di Buo I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Orlando M. ⚽,
50', 🟨,
54', 4 - 0, Gutierrez S. ⚽,
60', 5 - 0, Baglivo G. L. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Douglas Haig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Douglas Haig will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Douglas Haig won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Douglas Haig won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.11.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Douglas Haig - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	9 de Julio - Douglas Haig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWL
- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.11.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.06.13	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Douglas Haig	0:0
09.12.12	Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2

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