Match Info

National League South - Round 11

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Dover Athletic		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.45	2.15
	2.62	3.52	2.43	Watch
	3.13	3.34	2.17
	2.6	3.25	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.62)	3.39 ↓ (3.52)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
32.6%

Draw
27.3%

Chelmsford City
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Clark T. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dover won 1.

Dover is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chelmsford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dover may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dover won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dover won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
25.10.25	Worthing - Dover Athletic	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Dover Athletic - Horsham	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTL
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
25.10.25	Totton - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	4:3 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Alvechurch - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.04.24	Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City	1:0
23.10.23	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	3:3
18.02.23	Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City	0:0
07.11.22	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	0:0
Club Friendly
18.07.18	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	1:0
English National League South
01.02.14	Dover Athletic - Chelmsford City	2:2
23.11.13	Chelmsford City - Dover Athletic	0:4

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