Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Dover Athletic		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.67	3.6	4.25
	1.68	3.65	4.3
	1.72	3.72	4.36
	1.73	3.4	4.4
	1.67	3.72	4.45
	1.7	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.56)	3.61 ↓ (3.73)	4.36 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
53.9%

Draw
25.2%

Concord Rangers
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dover Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dover Athletic - Concord Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Dover Athletic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Dover is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concord has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dover is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dover to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dover won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League South
22.10.22	Dover Athletic - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Dover Athletic - Slough Town	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
27.09.22	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Weymouth - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWTW
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
22.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
15.10.22	Concord Rangers - Bath City	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Concord Rangers - Worthing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
20.10.18	Concord Rangers - Dover Athletic	0:1
English National League South
19.04.14	Concord Rangers - Dover Athletic	1:2
24.08.13	Dover Athletic - Concord Rangers	0:1

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