Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday


	St Albans City		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.57	4	4.5
	1.61	3.75	4.7
	1.69	4.1	4.5
	1.63	3.7	4.6
	1.63	3.74	4.7
	1.62	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.38)	3.83 ↑ (3.2)	4.63 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
56.4%

Draw
23.9%

Concord Rangers
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Albans City's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concord Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	5.9%	29.4%

St Albans City - Concord Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. St Albans will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Concord will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Albans: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 1.

Recent matches St Albans is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Concord has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

St Albans will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches St Albans won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-19.

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
08.10.22	St Albans City - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
27.09.22	Braintree Town - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
24.09.22	Farnborough - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Sudbury Town - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
English National League South
03.09.22	St Albans City - Worthing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
08.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Concord Rangers - Worthing	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:4 ✺
03.09.22	Concord Rangers - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
29.08.22	Chelmsford City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.03.22	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	2:1
12.03.22	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	0:1
English FA Cup
21.09.21	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	2:0
18.09.21	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	0:0
English National League South
10.10.20	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	1:1
26.08.19	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	2:1
22.04.19	Concord Rangers - St Albans City	2:1

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