Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Concord Rangers		Bath City

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.82
	3.55	3.45	1.86
	3.55	3.5	1.88
	3.77	3.66	1.88
	3.5	3.25	2
	3.88	3.66	1.78
	3.6	3.55	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.24)	3.5 ↑ (3.24)	1.87 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers
25.1%

Draw
26.1%

Bath City
48.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bath City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Concord Rangers - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concord won 3.

Concord has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bath is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bath could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bath is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Concord won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Concord won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Concord Rangers
English National League South
11.10.22	St Albans City - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Concord Rangers - Worthing	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Concord Rangers - Eastbourne Borough	2:4 ✺
03.09.22	Concord Rangers - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Bath City
English National League South
08.10.22	Bath City - Hungerford Town	2:3 ✺
27.09.22	Taunton Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Oxford City - Bath City	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Hartley Wintney - Bath City	0:1 ET ✺
17.09.22	Bath City - Hartley Wintney	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.04.22	Concord Rangers - Bath City	3:1
20.11.21	Bath City - Concord Rangers	2:1
08.12.20	Concord Rangers - Bath City	3:2
15.02.20	Concord Rangers - Bath City	0:1
English FA Trophy
28.01.20	Bath City - Concord Rangers	1:2
11.01.20	Concord Rangers - Bath City	1:1
English National League South
09.11.19	Bath City - Concord Rangers	3:1

Concord Rangers - Bath City

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Concord Rangers - Bath City Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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