Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 42

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Welling United		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.42	4.63	6.82
	1.43	4.63	6.82
	1.39	4.55	7.17
	1.4	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.62)	4.51 ↑ (3.75)	6.74 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
65.8%

Draw
20.5%

Dover Athletic
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Welling United's performance.

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Welling United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Welling United - Dover Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Di Trolio R. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 0.

Recent matches Welling is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dover is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Welling have a series of guest games.

In this match Welling is indisputable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Welling won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
23.03.24	Chippenham Town - Welling United	4:1 ✺
19.03.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Welling United	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Welling United - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
09.03.24	Yeovil Town - Welling United	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Farnborough - Welling United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LTWWL
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
23.03.24	Dover Athletic - Farnborough	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Dover Athletic - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
12.03.24	Eastbourne Borough - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Dover Athletic - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.11.23	Dover Athletic - Welling United	2:2
07.04.23	Dover Athletic - Welling United	0:0
27.09.22	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Welling United - Dover Athletic	1:2
24.07.18	Dover Athletic - Welling United	1:0
25.07.17	Dover Athletic - Welling United	5:0
English National League
08.03.16	Dover Athletic - Welling United	2:1

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