The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Galway United 28.1%
Draw 28.1%
Derry City 43.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
27.7%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galway United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Galway United - Derry City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Cunha H. (G) 15. Williams W. 2. O'Connor A. 12. Facchineri G. 3. Barratt C. 8. Bolger A. 10. Hurley D. 4. Keohane J. 20. Devitt L. 11. Twardek K. 7. Walsh S.
13. Norcott T. (G) 23. Dummigan C. 4. Stott J. 3. McClean P. 19. Fleming B. 17. Twisk N. 12. Burns D. 8. O'Reilly A. 7. Duffy M. (C) 14. Chapman E. 15. Clarke J.
Substitutes
32. Angelini V. (G) 21. Connolly D. 30. Kazeem A. 9. Lomboto F. 24. McCarthy E. 28. Morahan J. 23. Pierrot F. 17. Thiam J. 14. Wolfe M.
22. Barr C. 32. Doherty T. 25. Grogan C. 24. Lyons-Foster B. 1. Maher B. (G) 28. Olayinka J. 21. Santos K. 29. Smith T. 11. Whyte G.
Coaches
Caulfield J.
Connolly M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Barratt C. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Duffy M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Duffy M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Twardek K. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
46', Barratt C. ↓, McCarthy E. ↑,
48', O'Reilly A. 🟨,
65', Walsh S. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
73', O'Connor A. ↓, Wolfe M. ↑,
78', Burns D. ↓, Olayinka J. ↑,
86', Olayinka J. 🟨,
88', Keohane J. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,
89', Clarke J. ↓, Barr C. ↑,
90+1', Olayinka J. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galway United won 2.
Galway United has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Derry shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Derry is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Galway United has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:22 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Galway United against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.1:1.1 per game).
Ireland
International
Watch
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Cunha H. (G) 
Williams W. 
O'Connor A. 
Facchineri G. 
Dummigan C. 
Twisk N. 
Angelini V. (G) 
Pierrot F. 
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