Match Info

Date: 5 November 2021, Friday


	Druids		Newtown

	1	X	2
	7.75	5.25	1.27
	10	6.5	1.2
	9.8	5.8	1.19
	10.09	6.53	1.24
	12	5.5	1.2
	11.75	6.55	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.23 ↑ (7.7)	6.02 ↑ (5.5)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Druids
9%

Draw
15.3%

Newtown
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

16.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

15%

79.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Druids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Druids than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Druids - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group)).

Druids has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Newtown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newtown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Druids have a series of guest games.

In this match Newtown is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Druids won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Druids won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Druids FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
29.10.21	Gap Connahs Quay - Druids	4:0 ✺
23.10.21	Haverfordwest County - Druids	2:1 ✺
13.10.21	Druids - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
09.10.21	Bala Town - Druids	1:1 ✺
02.10.21	Cardiff Metropolitan - Druids	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLLTL
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
30.10.21	Haverfordwest County - Newtown	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
26.10.21	Bala Town - Newtown	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.10.21	Newtown - Caernarfon Town	1:0 ✺
12.10.21	Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Newtown - Pen-y-Bont	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
31.08.21	Newtown - Druids	5:0
30.04.21	Druids - Newtown	0:7
24.04.21	Newtown - Druids	5:0
09.03.21	Druids - Newtown	2:4
29.09.20	Newtown - Druids	4:1
11.10.19	Druids - Newtown	1:2
16.08.19	Newtown - Druids	0:0

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