The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newtown 45.9%
Draw 25.7%
Caernarfon Town 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
25.4%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
25.9%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newtown's performance.
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caernarfon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caernarfon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Newtown - Caernarfon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newtown will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Swindell A. (G) 20. Harries J. 24. Hughes G. 11. Ismail Z. 10. Lock J. 9. Oswell J. 3. Roberts C. 23. Sharp O. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. 14. Williams A.
1. McMullan S. (G) 9. Davies A. 17. Downey S. 21. Faux J. 3. Jones M. 18. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 2. Owen M. 27. Sears R. 10. Thomas D. (C) 14. Williams M.
Substitutes
17. Boakye H. 31. Guest B. 33. Hollingshead A. 32. Roberts A. 22. Smith C. 34. Smout I. 13. Ussher S. (G)
7. Clarke Z. 20. Edwards S. 16. Evans O. 15. Hill M. 11. Lloyd L. 24. Thomas H. (G) 4. Williams G.
Coaches
Ruscoe S.
Davies R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Mooney P. ⚽,
24', Sutton S. 🟨,
36', Jones M. 🟨,
40', Sharp O. 🟨,
44', Owen M. 🟨,
45+4', Downey S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Sears R. ↓, Williams G. ↑,
67', Sharp O. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Davies A. ⚽,
73', Thomas D. ↓, Hill M. ↑,
75', Harries J. ↓, Boakye H. ↑,
83', Mendes P. 🟨,
84', Davies A. ↓, Clarke Z. ↑,
84', Faux J. ↓, Lloyd L. ↑,
88', Lock J. ↓, Guest B. ↑,
88', Williams A. ↓, Hollingshead A. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Clarke Z. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 4, Sutton S. (Own goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newtown won 2.
Recent matches Newtown is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Caernarfon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Newtown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Newtown will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Newtown won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 46-27.
Including matches at home between the teams Newtown won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28-10.
Watch
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Swindell A. (G) 
Ismail Z. 
McMullan S. (G) 
Mendes P. 
Boakye H. 
Edwards S. 
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