The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Haverfordwest County 45.1%
Draw 27.5%
Newtown 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
26.4%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
24.8%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newtown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Haverfordwest County - Newtown Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jones Z. (G) 28. Ahmun B. 24. Humphreys I. 6. Jenkins L. 20. Jones O. 17. McCarthy K. 23. Owen J. 8. Shephard C. (C) 25. Tabone L. 18. Walters G. 7. Watts R.
1. Swindell A. (G) 31. Guest B. 24. Hughes G. 11. Ismail Z. 9. Oswell J. 3. Roberts C. 23. Sharp O. 22. Smith C. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. 14. Williams A.
Substitutes
9. Fawcett B. 10. Hawkins D. 21. John D. 14. John H. 15. Jones A. 19. Kenniford K. 12. Knott I. (G)
17. Boakye H. 2. Edwards T. 33. Hollingshead A. 26. Pryce R. 32. Roberts A. 34. Smout I. 13. Ussher S. (G)
Coaches
Pennock T.
Ruscoe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Oswell J. 🟨,
23', Humphreys I. 🟨,
23', Ismail Z. 🟨,
25', Smith D. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Jenkins L. ⚽,
45+1', Ismail Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Humphreys I. ⚽,
54', Sharp O. ↓, Pryce R. ↑,
58', 3 - 0, Jones O. ⚽,
60', Williams A. 🟨,
61', Humphreys I. ↓, Hawkins D. ↑,
61', Jones O. ↓, Fawcett B. ↑,
61', Watts R. ↓, Kenniford K. ↑,
71', Smith C. ↓, Hollingshead A. ↑,
71', Williams A. ↓, Boakye H. ↑,
72', McCarthy K. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
79', Hawkins D. ↓, John D. ↑,
82', Shephard C. 🟨,
90+2', Guest B. ↓, Roberts A. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Haverfordwest won 1.
Haverfordwest is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Newtown is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Haverfordwest have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Haverfordwest won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Haverfordwest won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.