Match Info

WALES: Cymru Premier - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday

Location: Bryntirion Park (Bridgend)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)


	Pen-y-Bont		Newtown

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.75	4.5
	1.74	3.61	4.88
	1.73	3.7	4.66	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.5
	1.68	3.85	4.49
	1.7	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.94)	3.72 ↑ (3.37)	4.55 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pen-y-Bont
54.8%

Draw
24.8%

Newtown
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pen-y-Bont's performance.

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newtown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Pen y Bont - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Przybek A. (G) 16. Borge B. 10. Crole J. 6. Davies M. 29. Green C. 8. Harling L. 5. Jefferies D. 4. Kircough G. 2. Ludvigsen K. 3. Owen K. 22. Reffell K.	1. Swindell A. (G) 8. Evans R. 20. Harries J. 24. Hughes G. 11. Ismail Z. 10. Lock J. 9. Oswell J. 3. Roberts C. 23. Sharp O. 27. Smith D. 14. Williams A.
Substitutes
21. Bregua E. 12. Lewis M. (G) 14. Phillips I. 18. Pritchard O. 9. Venables C. 11. Ware L. 15. Woodiwiss J.	17. Boakye H. 16. Downs D. 31. Guest B. 33. Hollingshead A. 32. Roberts A. 22. Smith C. 13. Ussher S. (G)
Coaches
Griffiths R.	Ruscoe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Hughes G. 🟨,
50', Evans R. ↓, Guest B. ↑,
68', Crole J. ↓, Venables C. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Reffell K. ↓, Ware L. ↑,
77', Green C. 🟨,
82', Green C. ↓, Pritchard O. ↑,
82', Lock J. 🟨,
84', Williams A. ↓, Boakye H. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 4.

Recent matches Newtown is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Pen-y-Bont is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Pen-y-Bont won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Pen-y-Bont won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pen-y-Bont FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.08.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pen-y-Bont	0:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
03.08.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pen-y-Bont	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Cardiff City - Pen-y-Bont	7:1 ✺
02.07.24	Pen-y-Bont - Cefn Cribwr	4:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.05.24	Caernarfon Town - Pen-y-Bont	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.08.24	Newtown - Aberystwyth Town	4:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
04.08.24	Newtown - Caernarfon Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Hednesford Town - Newtown	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Buckley Town - Newtown	1:1 ✺
09.07.24	Newtown - Guilsfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
11.05.24	Newtown - Pen-y-Bont	0:5
19.11.23	Pen-y-Bont - Newtown	1:1
12.08.23	Newtown - Pen-y-Bont	1:3
22.04.23	Pen-y-Bont - Newtown	2:1
18.03.23	Newtown - Pen-y-Bont	0:1
28.01.23	Pen-y-Bont - Newtown	3:0
17.09.22	Newtown - Pen-y-Bont	2:3

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