The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Duhok 24.9%
Draw 29.3%
Al-Zawraa 45.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
29.3%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
29.2%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Duhok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Duhok's form might have worsened.
Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Zawraa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duhok than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duhok, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Zawraa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Duhok - Al Zawraa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rostam A. ⚽, Allee A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Hammood Y. ⚽, Majji R. (A),
81', 3 - 0, Rostam A. ⚽, Ageed S. (A),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 7th and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duhok won 1.
Duhok has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Zawraa shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Al-Zawraa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Duhok has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Duhok against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Al Zawraa
9
5
3
1
15:6
9
18
7
Duhok
9
2
6
1
14:11
3
12
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Zawraa - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.83%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.