Match Info

MOL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Juliska (Prague)


	Dukla Prague		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	4.20	4.00	1.60
	4.60	3.50	1.61
	4.50	3.60	1.62
	5.14	3.90	1.64
	4.4	3.67	1.7	Watch
	5.05	3.85	1.57
	4.32	4.12	1.65	Watch
	4.50	3.60	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.86)	3.78 ↑ (3.63)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dukla Prague
19.9%

Draw
24.1%

Jablonec
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.8%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

23%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dukla Prague, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jablonec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Dukla Prague - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dukla Prague will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Jablonec will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
59. Backovsky H. (G) 12. Ambler M. 11. Diallo B. 27. Franke A. 21. Hindi S. 39. Kozma D. (C) 25. Okebugwu J. 22. Sebrle S. 37. Tomic M. 5. Velasquez D. 16. Zamazal D.	33. Kukucka M. (G) 18. Cedidla M. 44. Jawo L. 36. Kuol G. 6. Okeke N. 21. Polidar M. 9. Rusek A. 23. Sobol E. 14. Soucek D. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 8. Zorvan F.
Substitutes
29. Cisse N. 14. Corr P. 15. Hanousek M. 31. Jagrik A. (G) 6. Lilling O. 10. Mikus R. 7. Schanelec T. 23. Svozil J.	16. Ahl H. 7. Chanturishvili V. 19. Chramosta J. 1. Hanus J. (G) 24. Holly D. 22. Horak R. 25. Nebyla S. 57. Novak F. 15. Pavlovic D. 13. Sedlacek R. 27. Vecheta F.
Coaches
Sustr P.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Okeke N. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Jawo L. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Kuol G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Velasquez D. 🟨,
61', Zorvan F. ↓, Nebyla S. ↑,
61', Okeke N. ↓, Sedlacek R. ↑,
65', Diallo B. ↓, Corr P. ↑,
65', Okebugwu J. ↓, Mikus R. ↑,
65', Zamazal D. ↓, Cisse N. ↑,
70', Ambler M. ↓, Hanousek M. ↑,
72', Kuol G. ↓, Chanturishvili V. ↑,
82', 🟨,
84', Sebrle S. ↓, Schanelec T. ↑,
85', Rusek A. ↓, Holly D. ↑,
85', Polidar M. ↓, Novak F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Prague won 1.

Dukla Prague has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Jablonec have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jablonec carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Prague has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:32 (averaging 1.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dukla Prague against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 22:16 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dukla Prague
Czech Division 2
18.09.26	Prostějov - Dukla Prague	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Dukla Prague - Vlašim	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Opava - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Dukla Prague - Vysočina Jihlava	3:1 ✺
Czech Cup
25.08.26	Horní Ředice - Dukla Prague	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWWW
- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.26	Jablonec - Zlín	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Jablonec - Baník Ostrava	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Jablonec - Slovan Liberec	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
14.03.26	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	2:0
Czech Cup
28.10.25	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:1
Czech 1 Liga
19.10.25	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	0:0
07.12.24	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:1
10.08.24	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	0:2
Czech Tipsport Liga
08.01.22	Jablonec - Dukla Prague	2:3
Club Friendly
09.01.21	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	3:1

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