Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Dulwich Hamlet		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	2.88	3.2	2.23
	2.8	3.3	2.26
	2.95	3.3	2.29
	2.88	3.1	2.35
	2.82	3.28	2.31
	2.8	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (1.86)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)	2.28 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dulwich Hamlet
31.9%

Draw
28.1%

Farnborough
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dulwich Hamlet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dulwich Hamlet's form might have worsened.

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Farnborough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dulwich Hamlet than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dulwich Hamlet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Farnborough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Dulwich Hamlet - Farnborough Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dulwich will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Farnborough will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 13).

Dulwich is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Farnborough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dulwich won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Dulwich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dulwich Hamlet
English National League South
01.01.23	Dover Athletic - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
20.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
06.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Oxford City - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWWT
- Farnborough
English National League South
01.01.23	Farnborough - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Hungerford Town - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	Farnborough - Braintree Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.22	Welling United - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
13.08.22	Farnborough - Dulwich Hamlet	1:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.02.16	Dulwich Hamlet - Farnborough	2:2
10.10.15	Farnborough - Dulwich Hamlet	1:4

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