Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 22

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday

Location: Dens Park (Dundee)

Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)


	Dundee		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.75	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5
	1.58	3.85	5
	1.93	3.5	3.5
	1.63	3.84	5.67
	1.62	3.5	5	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.35	Watch
	1.61	3.8	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.76 ↓ (3.92)	4.86 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
56.3%

Draw
24.6%

Partick Thistle
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	4.5%	13.6%

Dundee - Partick Thistle Predictions

Users Predictions: Dundee will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundee won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Dundee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dundee have a series of guest games.

Dundee will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Dundee won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
25.02.23	Dundee - Inverness	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Greenock Morton - Dundee	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Dundee - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.02.23	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Dundee	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLWLT
- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
25.02.23	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
12.02.23	Glasgow Rangers - Partick Thistle	3:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.02.23	Partick Thistle - Cove Rangers	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Partick Thistle - Hamilton Academical	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
05.11.22	Partick Thistle - Dundee	2:3
30.07.22	Dundee - Partick Thistle	2:3
08.02.20	Dundee - Partick Thistle	2:0
21.12.19	Partick Thistle - Dundee	0:1
19.10.19	Dundee - Partick Thistle	1:3
Scottish Premier League
12.05.18	Dundee - Partick Thistle	0:1
17.02.18	Partick Thistle - Dundee	1:2

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