Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 25

Date: 17 February 2023, Friday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)

Referee: Anderson E. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Sweden	Viaplay


	Greenock Morton		Dundee

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.95
	3.85	3.2	1.93
	4.15	3.42	1.95
	3.6	3.1	2	Watch
	3.8	3.44	1.92	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.75)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)	1.96 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
24.7%

Draw
28.2%

Dundee
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greenock Morton's form might have worsened.

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greenock Morton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Greenock Morton - Dundee Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Greenock will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Dundee will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock won 0.

Greenock is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dundee is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dundee could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dundee have a series of home games.

Dundee will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Greenock won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Greenock won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
11.02.23	Greenock Morton - Queens Park	3:2 ✺
04.02.23	Inverness - Greenock Morton	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
21.01.23	Celtic - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
14.01.23	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL
- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
12.02.23	Dundee - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.02.23	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Dundee	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Dundee - Queens Park	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.01.23	Dundee - Dunfermline Athletic	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
22.10.22	Dundee - Greenock Morton	0:0
20.08.22	Greenock Morton - Dundee	0:0
10.04.21	Dundee - Greenock Morton	1:1
27.02.21	Greenock Morton - Dundee	2:2
24.10.20	Dundee - Greenock Morton	1:0
01.02.20	Greenock Morton - Dundee	1:1
01.11.19	Dundee - Greenock Morton	2:1

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