Match Info

Date: 20 February 2021, Saturday


	Dundee		Queen of the South

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.5
	1.57	4	5	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.7
	1.68	3.94	5.26
	1.62	3.75	4.8	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.59)	3.9 ↓ (3.97)	4.96 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
57.4%

Draw
23.8%

Queen of the South
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.3%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

19.6%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Dundee - Queen of the South Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Premiership (Promotion: Quartertofinals) and 5).

Dundee is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Queen of the South is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dundee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dundee is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dundee won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
30.01.21	Raith Rovers - Dundee	3:1 ✺
22.01.21	Arbroath - Dundee	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
09.01.21	Dundee - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:2 ET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
02.01.21	Dundee - Hearts	3:1 ✺
29.12.20	Dundee - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWW
- Queen of the South
Scottish Football Championship
17.02.21	Inverness - Queen of the South	0:1 ✺
12.02.21	Queen of the South - Hearts	1:1 ✺
06.02.21	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Queen of the South - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
16.01.21	Queen of the South - Arbroath	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
26.12.20	Queen of the South - Dundee	1:3
22.02.20	Queen of the South - Dundee	0:1
30.11.19	Dundee - Queen of the South	1:2
27.09.19	Queen of the South - Dundee	1:1
Scottish Cup
29.01.19	Queen of the South - Dundee	3:0
19.01.19	Dundee - Queen of the South	1:1
Scottish Football Championship
25.03.14	Dundee - Queen of the South	1:0

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