Match Info

Date: 29 December 2020, Tuesday


	Dundee		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.47	4.1	6.1	Watch
	1.49	4	5.8
	1.52	4.34	6.71
	1.47	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.3	6.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)	4.06 ↑ (3.91)	6.27 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee
62.3%

Draw
22.9%

Alloa Athletic
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

13.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dundee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alloa Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	11.1%	13.9%

Dundee - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Dundee will win (votes: 27 - 75%). Alloa will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee: 60.9% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Premiership (Promotion: Quartertofinals) and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alloa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Alloa have a series of home games.

In this match Dundee is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dundee won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
26.12.20	Queen of the South - Dundee	1:3 ✺
19.12.20	Dundee - Dunfermline Athletic	3:3 ✺
12.12.20	Inverness - Dundee	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Dundee - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
28.11.20	Hibernian - Dundee	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTWL
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
26.12.20	Alloa Athletic - Raith Rovers	2:5 ✺
19.12.20	Alloa Athletic - Inverness	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
15.12.20	Alloa Athletic - Hibernian	1:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
12.12.20	Arbroath - Alloa Athletic	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Alloa Athletic - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
06.11.20	Alloa Athletic - Dundee	3:3
03.03.20	Dundee - Alloa Athletic	0:0
29.10.19	Alloa Athletic - Dundee	0:3
14.09.19	Dundee - Alloa Athletic	2:1
Club Friendly
01.07.16	Alloa Athletic - Dundee	1:1
Scottish Football Championship
26.04.14	Alloa Athletic - Dundee	0:3
01.02.14	Dundee - Alloa Athletic	1:1

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