Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 22

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Tannadice Park (Dundee)

Referee: Grainger G. (Sco)


	Dundee United		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.34	4.5	8.5
	1.33	5	8.5	Watch
	1.32	4.84	7.2
	1.34	5.27	8.67
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.32	5	8.25	Watch
	1.34	4.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 (1.33)	4.85 ↓ (5)	8.09 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundee United
69.5%

Draw
19.1%

Dunfermline Athletic
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

18.3%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

16.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Dundee United - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dundee Utd will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee Utd: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walton J. (G) 8. Grimshaw L. 6. Graham R. 4. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 23. Docherty R. (C) 14. Sibbald C. 18. Fotheringham K. 10. Wotherspoon D. 15. Middleton G. 32. Watt T.	1. Mehmet D. (G) 15. Fisher S. 5. Hamilton C. (C) 64. Walcott M. 23. O'Halloran M. 6. Otoo E. 8. Chalmers J. 3. Edwards J. 16. Summers B. 17. Moffat O. 11. McCann L.
Substitutes
28. Cudjoe M. 22. Freeman K. 7. Greive A. 17. Meekison A. 26. Mochrie C. R. 9. Moult L. 13. Newman J. (G) 42. Petrie G. 16. Tillson J.	18. Allan P. 19. Fenton M. 44. Little M. (G) 31. Sutherland J. 26. Sutherland T. 9. Wighton C. 27. Young S.
Coaches
Goodwin J.	McPake J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundee Utd won 3.

Dundee Utd is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dunfermline is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Dundee Utd is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Dundee Utd won 18 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dundee Utd won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundee United
Scottish Football Championship
12.01.24	Inverness - Dundee United	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Dundee United - Greenock Morton	2:3 ✺
02.01.24	Arbroath - Dundee United	0:3 ✺
29.12.23	Dundee United - Partick Thistle	3:0 ✺
22.12.23	Queens Park - Dundee United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWT
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
05.01.24	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ✺
02.01.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
30.12.23	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
10.11.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee United	1:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.09.23	Dundee United - Dunfermline Athletic	3:0
Scottish Football Championship
12.08.23	Dundee United - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1
29.02.20	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee United	2:0
26.10.19	Dundee United - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
24.08.19	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee United	0:2
26.03.19	Dunfermline Athletic - Dundee United	0:1

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