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Current Win Probability
Queens Park 25.8%
Draw 28.8%
Dunfermline Athletic 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
29.4%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
29.6%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park's form might have worsened.
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrie C. (G) 4. Murray E. (C) 35. Lamie R. 22. Shiels M. 25. MacKenzie M. 7. Longridge L. 8. MacGregor R. 3. Fieldson H. 11. Connolly A. 27. Smith C. 21. McLean R.
13. Oxborough A. (G) 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. (C) 3. Ngwenya K. 31. Tod J. 10. Todd M. 18. Abdulai N. 14. Amade A. 47. Fraser R. 26. Tod A. 38. Morrison C. 20. Kane Ch.
Substitutes
20. Bradley J. 24. Collie M. 38. Goldie C. 17. McDonnell T. 29. McLeish L. 42. Rodger K. 9. Ruth M. 16. Waugh R. 30. Wills J. (G)
4. Benedictus K. 22. Bray K. 33. Cooper J. 34. Fyfe L. 8. Gilmour C. 5. Hamilton C. 11. Kearney S. 16. MacLeod R. 40. Terrell B. (G)
Coaches
Crighton S.
Lennon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Chilokoa-Mullen J. ⚽, Morrison C. (A),
26', Shiels M. ↓, McDonnell T. ↑,
36', Ngwenya K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ngwenya K. ↓, Benedictus K. ↑,
46', McLean R. ↓, Ruth M. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Kane Ch. ⚽, Todd M. (A),
59', Todd M. ↓, Kearney S. ↑,
60', Tod A. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
66', Smith C. ↓, McLeish L. ↑,
73', Fraser R. ↓, MacLeod R. ↑,
73', Morrison C. ↓, Fyfe L. ↑,
77', Longridge L. 🟨,
87', McDonnell T. 🟨,
88', Longridge L. ↓, Rodger K. ↑,
88', Murray E. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
89', Tod J. 🟨,
Preview
Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Queens Park may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Dunfermline is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Queens Park won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Dunfermline: 8.83% Queen's Park: 0.53%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Dunfermline
8
3
4
1
7:5
2
13
10
Queen's Park
9
1
1
7
4:15
-11
4
Last Results with these Odds
Queens Park - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.38%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Ferrie C. (G) 
Murray E. (C) 
Ngwenya K. 
Abdulai N. 
Amade A. 
Kearney S. 
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