Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 21

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Referee: Muir A. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Inverness		Dundee United

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.5	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.51
	6	4	1.52	Watch
	6.38	4.34	1.5
	6.07	4.24	1.54
	6.5	4	1.4
	6.39	4.15	1.48	Watch
	5.8	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (4.25)	4.08 ↑ (3.6)	1.49 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
15.4%

Draw
22.7%

Dundee United
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.1%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

24.7%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inverness's form might have worsened.

Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inverness, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Inverness - Dundee United Predictions

Users Predictions: Dundee United will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ridgers M. (G) 8. Carson D. 6. Devine D. 20. Boyes M. 31. Carragher J. 19. Longstaff L. 7. Gilmour C. 15. Anderson M. 3. Harper C. 22. Shaw N. 9. McKay B. (C)	1. Walton J. (G) 8. Grimshaw L. 6. Graham R. 4. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 7. Greive A. 16. Tillson J. 18. Fotheringham K. 32. Watt T. (C) 15. Middleton G. 26. Mochrie C. R.
Substitutes
24. Brooks A. 14. Davidson J. 10. Doran A. 2. Duffy W. 12. MacGregor R. 21. Mackay C. (G) 34. Sheridan C. 29. Thompson R. 44. Ujdur N.	28. Cudjoe M. 5. Denham O. 25. Duffy F. 22. Freeman K. 21. Glass D. 27. MacLeod R. 17. Meekison A. 13. Newman J. (G) 42. Petrie G.
Coaches
Ferguson D.	Goodwin J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inverness won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Dundee Utd is a favorite.

Last 39 head-to-head matches Inverness won 11 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 45-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Inverness won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
06.01.24	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3 ✺
02.01.24	Airdrieonians - Inverness	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Inverness - Greenock Morton	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Partick Thistle - Inverness	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Inverness - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTTL
- Dundee United
Scottish Football Championship
06.01.24	Dundee United - Greenock Morton	2:3 ✺
02.01.24	Arbroath - Dundee United	0:3 ✺
29.12.23	Dundee United - Partick Thistle	3:0 ✺
22.12.23	Queens Park - Dundee United	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Dundee United - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
04.11.23	Dundee United - Inverness	1:1
23.09.23	Inverness - Dundee United	0:1
21.02.20	Dundee United - Inverness	2:1
02.11.19	Inverness - Dundee United	0:3
03.08.19	Dundee United - Inverness	4:1
Scottish Premier League
17.05.19	Dundee United - Inverness	3:0
14.05.19	Inverness - Dundee United	0:1

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