Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 29

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Avranches

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.94	3.17	4.61
	1.88	3.2	3.8
	1.91	3.48	3.78	Watch
	1.88	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.6)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	3.88 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
48.5%

Draw
27.8%

Avranches
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Avranches has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avranches's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avranches, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dunkerque - Avranches Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 2.

Dunkerque in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Avranches is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dunkerque is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
07.04.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Dunkerque - Red Star	1:0 ✺
24.03.23	Sedan - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
17.03.23	Dunkerque - Villefranche	3:2 ✺
10.03.23	Stade Briochin - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW
- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
07.04.23	Avranches - Orleans	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Avranches	2:1 ✺
24.03.23	Avranches - Le Puy	3:1 ✺
17.03.23	Martigues - Avranches	3:0 ✺
10.03.23	Avranches - Le Mans	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
25.11.22	Avranches - Dunkerque	3:4
08.11.19	Avranches - Dunkerque	2:0
17.05.19	Dunkerque - Avranches	3:0
03.08.18	Avranches - Dunkerque	1:0
12.01.18	Dunkerque - Avranches	2:2
11.08.17	Avranches - Dunkerque	1:1
10.02.17	Dunkerque - Avranches	3:0

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