Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dunkerque		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.41	3.48	2.2
	3.62	3.51	2.11
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.5	3.58	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.45	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.11)	3.49 ↑ (3.29)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
27.5%

Draw
27%

Bordeaux
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.1%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	25%	68.7%

Dunkerque - Bordeaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Bordeaux will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Balijon A. (G) 7. Bilingi Y. 26. Sangante O. 4. Fernandez N. 89. Koumetio B. 19. Youssouf B. 23. Gambor H. 5. Boissier R. 77. Sy I. 20. Bardeli E. 9. Baghdadi S.	13. Straczek R. (G) 34. Michelin C. 24. Marcelin J. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 14. Nsimba V. 8. Sissokho I. 6. Ignatenko D. 20. Diaz P. 30. Davitashvili Z. 9. Vipotnik Z. 7. Livolant J.
Substitutes
10. Anziani J. 21. Gnanduillet A. 14. Guel M. 8. Keita T. 1. Lavallee L. (G) 29. Orelien A. 13. Senneville C.	4. Bokele M. 81. De Lima M. 19. Ekomie J. 17. Elis A. 2. Gregersen S. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 11. Pitu A.
Coaches
Castro L.	Riera A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Dunkerque has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bordeaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Caen - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Reims Sainte-Anne - Dunkerque	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Dunkerque - Bastia	0:5 ✺
02.12.23	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Dunkerque - Laval	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Bordeaux - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Angoulême - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Quevilly - Bordeaux	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Bordeaux - Troyes	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Paris FC - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLW

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