Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Caen		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.43
	2.84	3.17	2.7
	2.76	3.15	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.5
	2.93	3.15	2.54	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	3.11 ↓ (3.27)	2.53 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Caen
33.1%

Draw
30%

Dunkerque
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

27.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	19.4%	67.7%

Caen - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 25. Sy L. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 61. Traore B. 27. Gaudin J. 77. Gaucho Debohi D. 20. Lebreton N. 10. Brahimi B. 21. Grandsir S. 50. Najim I. 19. Mendy A. (C)	16. Ortola A. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Sasso V. 30. Abner F. 28. Raghouber U. 77. Al Saad M. 22. Skytta N. 20. Bardeli E. 80. Yassine G. 18. Courtet G.
Substitutes
16. Clementia Y. (G) 4. Henry V. 17. Kyeremeh G. 6. M'Vila Y. 91. Ntim E. 14. Rajot L. 29. Thomas R.	. Ba A. 19. Bammou Y. . Fortuna N. 1. Jaouen E. (G) 21. Kondo G. 11. Pitu A. 9. Tejan K.
Coaches
Baltazar B.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Sasso V. 🟨,
30', Lebreton N. 🟨,
37', Brahimi B. 🟥,
45', 0 - 1, Courtet G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Najim I. ↓, Henry V. ↑,
46', Lebreton N. ↓, M'Vila Y. ↑,
54', Gaudin J. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Skytta N. ⚽, Bardeli E. (A),
62', Abner F. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
62', Al Saad M. ↓, Fortuna N. ↑,
70', Sy L. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
76', Yassine G. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
79', Gaudin J. ↓, Ntim E. ↑,
87', Raghouber U. 🟨,
87', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
88', Mendy A. 🟨,
88', Bammou Y. 🟨,
89', Courtet G. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
89', Sasso V. ↓, Kondo G. ↑,
90+3', Tejan K. 🟨,

Preview

Gauff is ranked WTA: 3. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 21.

Gauff is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kostyuk is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kostyuk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gauff is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gauff won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Troyes - Caen	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Caen - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
17.01.25	Ajaccio - Caen	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Caen - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Caen - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USL Dunkerque
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Lille - Dunkerque	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Dunkerque - Martigues	0:1 ✺
27.01.25	Annecy - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.01.25	Haguenau - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Dunkerque - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
16.12.24	Dunkerque - Caen	3:1
10.05.24	Dunkerque - Caen	2:2
16.12.23	Caen - Dunkerque	1:0
02.04.22	Caen - Dunkerque	2:1
23.10.21	Dunkerque - Caen	1:1
20.04.21	Caen - Dunkerque	1:1
18.12.20	Dunkerque - Caen	2:3

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