Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Dunkerque		Dijon

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.05	Watch
	3.7	2.95	2.15
	3.6	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.65	2.9	2.11
	4.08	3.04	2.17
	3.75	2.9	2.15	Watch
	3.86	2.99	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.06)	2.95 ↓ (3.16)	2.15 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
24.9%

Draw
31.6%

Dijon
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

29.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

19.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dijon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dunkerque - Dijon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 12).

Dunkerque has the most likely position - 19 (29.12%), has project points - 37, has currently - 24, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 10 (10.19%), has project points - 50, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 32, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Dijon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
19.02.22	Nancy - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Dunkerque - Rodez	2:0 ✺
05.02.22	Nîmes - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
01.02.22	Niort - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
28.01.22	Dunkerque - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWLT
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
19.02.22	Bastia - Dijon	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Toulouse - Dijon	4:1 ✺
22.01.22	Dijon - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Rodez - Dijon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.09.21	Dijon - Dunkerque	2:0

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