Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Dunkerque		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.49
	3.09	3.03	2.6
	2.98	2.95	2.55	Watch
	2.88	3	2.5
	3.29	2.98	2.52	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.89)	2.91 ↓ (3.12)	2.51 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
30.8%

Draw
32.1%

Paris FC
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

29.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Dunkerque - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Sasso V. 30. Abner F. 28. Raghouber U. 77. Al Saad M. 22. Skytta N. 20. Bardeli E. 80. Yassine G. 18. Courtet G.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 31. Chergui S. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 2. Ollila T. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. 13. Cafaro M. 17. Camara A. 10. Kebbal I. 11. Krasso J.
Substitutes
31. Ba A. 1. Jaouen E. (G) 21. Kondo G. 15. Rivera M. 11. Sekongo A. 9. Tejan K. 17. Youssouf B.	8. Doucet L. 7. Gory A. 29. Hamel P. 19. Kante M. 20. Lopez J. 1. Riou R. (G) 39. Tourraine M.
Coaches
Castro L.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Camara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Saad M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
64', Lopez M. 🟨,
69', Abner F. 🟨,
70', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
70', Cafaro M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
82', Camara A. ↓, Hamel P. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Tejan K. ⚽, Skytta N. (A),
89', Skytta N. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
89', Yassine G. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Paris FC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Fernandez N. (Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Hamel P. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:18 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
10.02.25	Caen - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Lille - Dunkerque	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Dunkerque - Martigues	0:1 ✺
27.01.25	Annecy - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
22.01.25	Haguenau - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWLWW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
07.02.25	Paris FC - Pau	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Paris FC - Red Star	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Paris FC - Amiens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.08.24	Paris FC - Dunkerque	3:2
27.01.24	Paris FC - Dunkerque	1:2
21.10.23	Dunkerque - Paris FC	1:3
28.01.22	Dunkerque - Paris FC	1:1
31.07.21	Paris FC - Dunkerque	2:1
02.03.21	Paris FC - Dunkerque	1:0
07.11.20	Dunkerque - Paris FC	0:1

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