Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 31

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Le Puy

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.6
	1.56	3.5	5.4
	1.59	3.8	6.4
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.56	4.05	5.35	Watch
	1.59	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	3.73 ↑ (3.4)	5.28 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
58.1%

Draw
24.5%

Le Puy
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

26.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

24.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Dunkerque - Le Puy Predictions

Users Predictions: Dunkerque will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Dunkerque is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Le Puy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Dunkerque is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dunkerque to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
24.04.23	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Dunkerque - Avranches	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Dunkerque - Red Star	1:0 ✺
24.03.23	Sedan - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
21.04.23	Le Puy - Orleans	0:1 ✺
14.04.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Le Puy - Le Mans	2:4 ✺
31.03.23	Le Puy - Martigues	2:2 ✺
24.03.23	Avranches - Le Puy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
09.12.22	Le Puy - Dunkerque	0:1
29.11.19	Le Puy - Dunkerque	1:2

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