Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 33

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Orleans

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.66	3.8	4.1
	1.84	3.83	4.11
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.79	3.64	4.15	Watch
	1.74	3.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)	3.58 ↓ (3.7)	4.01 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
51.6%

Draw
25.6%

Orleans
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Dunkerque - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Dunkerque is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Orleans is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dunkerque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dunkerque is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
12.05.23	Bourg-Péronnas - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
28.04.23	Dunkerque - Le Puy	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
14.04.23	Dunkerque - Avranches	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWW
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
10.05.23	Orleans - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
28.04.23	Orleans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Le Puy - Orleans	0:1 ✺
17.04.23	Orleans - Martigues	1:4 ✺
07.04.23	Avranches - Orleans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.01.23	Orleans - Dunkerque	0:0
05.02.16	Orleans - Dunkerque	1:1
28.08.15	Dunkerque - Orleans	1:0
14.03.14	Dunkerque - Orleans	0:0
27.09.13	Orleans - Dunkerque	1:0

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