Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)


	Dunkerque		Paris 13 Atletico

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.75	3.45	4
	1.93	3.2	3.85
	1.94	3.17	4.6
	1.91	3	4
	1.95	3.3	3.68	Watch
	1.92	3.15	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.54)	3.2 ↓ (3.62)	3.97 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
48.3%

Draw
28.6%

Paris 13 Atletico
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

25.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Paris 13 Atletico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris 13 Atletico's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris 13 Atletico, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	44.4%	5.6%

Dunkerque - Paris 13 Atletico Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Paris 13 Atletico will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Paris 13 Atletico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dunkerque is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
07.11.22	Red Star - Dunkerque	4:2 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Beauvais Oise - Dunkerque	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Dunkerque - Sedan	1:3 ✺
12.10.22	Villefranche - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	Dunkerque - Stade Briochin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW
- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
07.11.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Orleans	0:0 ✺
21.10.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Paris 13 Atletico	0:2 ✺
12.10.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Le Puy	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Martigues - Paris 13 Atletico	3:2 ✺
23.09.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Avranches	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTLL

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