Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free


	Red Star		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.92
	2.44	3.2	3.19
	2.43	3.14	3	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.34	3.13	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.92)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	3.01 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
39.4%

Draw
29.8%

Dunkerque
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Red Star - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dunkerque (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Dunkerque (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 27. Danger B. 21. Hachem A. 98. Hachem R. (C) 4. Pierret B. 81. Haag G. 91. Cabral K. 2. Magnin T. 7. Durand D.	60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 4. Lagae B. 22. Mayela V. 2. Georgen A. 6. Diong P. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
9. Ba P. M. 29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 11. Cisse K. 5. Escartin J. 3. Huard M. 23. Ikanga J. 22. Sylla D.	69. Bokele Mputu M. 15. Doucet L. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 42. Makhloufi M. 57. Seha Z. 7. Sylvestre E.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Cabral K. ⚽, Durand D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mayela V. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
46', Zossou A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
64', Haag G. 🟨,
65', Cabral K. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
65', Magnin T. ↓, Sylla D. ↑,
71', Bardeli E. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
71', Diong P. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
79', Hachem A. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
80', Durand D. ↓, Huard M. ↑,
83', Linguet A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
85', Sylvestre E. 🟨,
87', Pierret B. ↓, Benali H. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.

Recent form of Red Star has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dunkerque has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Red Star may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Escartin J. (Inactive) Halifa I. (Inactive) Hassen M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Daho A. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Essimi M. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sasso V. (Inactive) Zossou A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dunkerque: Bardeli E. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Red Star: 4.92% Dunkerque: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
07.03.26	Saint-Étienne - Red Star	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Red Star - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Annecy - Red Star	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Red Star - Nancy	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Red Star - Pau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
09.03.26	Dunkerque - Reims	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Clermont - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Dunkerque - Bastia	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Amiens - Dunkerque	1:4 ✺
06.02.26	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Dunkerque - Red Star	3:0
10.05.25	Red Star - Dunkerque	1:1
25.10.24	Dunkerque - Red Star	2:0
French Ligue 3
01.04.23	Dunkerque - Red Star	1:0
07.11.22	Red Star - Dunkerque	4:2
31.01.20	Dunkerque - Red Star	1:1
23.08.19	Red Star - Dunkerque	1:2

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