Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Dynamo Dresden		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.85	3.5	4.1
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.85	3.5	4.1
	1.85	3.73	4.44
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.86	3.6	3.92	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	4.05 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
50.7%

Draw
26.5%

Zwickau
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

24.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Zwickau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Dynamo Dresden - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Dresden will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Zwickau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Dresden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Dynamo Dresden	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLT
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Zwickau	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Zwickau - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
29.10.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Zwickau	1:1 ✺
21.10.22	Zwickau - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Saarbrücken - Zwickau	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.02.21	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:2
20.10.20	Dynamo Dresden - Zwickau	1:2
Club Friendly
09.01.20	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
14.07.18	Dynamo Dresden - Zwickau	3:2
05.07.15	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
29.01.14	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:3
08.07.12	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	N/A

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