Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Dynamo Vladivostok		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.48	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.33)	3.48 ↑ (3.22)	4.42 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Vladivostok
52.5%

Draw
26.6%

Shinnik
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Vladivostok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Vladivostok's performance.

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shinnik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Vladivostok than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Vladivostok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shinnik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Dynamo Vladivostok - Shinnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Dynamo Vladivostok will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Archibasov E. (G) 47. Andyamov V. 25. Dorokhov E. 20. Dudkin S. 70. Kalugin D. 11. Leonov O. 80. Pipo A. 7. Rashchupkin D. 22. Shestakov I. 77. Terentyev A. 9. Zyryanov N.	51. Mitrov T. (G) 19. Fofana S. 70. Kul R. 61. Malakhov A. 90. Shakuro P. 46. Sinitsyn E. 91. Skvortsov L. 8. Sukhomlinov D. 22. Sultonov M. 4. Yakushevich G. 10. Zhamaletdinov T.
Substitutes
44. Demin V. 87. Gainullin R. R. 16. Glazkov S. (G) 95. Kayashov M. 23. Kolotygin A. 71. Mingazov A. 4. Salnikov I.	11. Fedorov Z. 14. Kalinin G. 84. Kuzminykh N. 75. Vambolt D. (G) 89. Zagre B. 5. Zinkov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Dorokhov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Shestakov I. ↓, Kayashov M. ↑,
56', Leonov O. ↓, Mingazov A. ↑,
62', Andyamov V. 🟨,
69', Pipo A. ↓, Demin V. ↑,
74', Sinitsyn E. ↓, Zinkov V. ↑,
80', Mingazov A. 🟨,
90+1', Shakuro P. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Zyryanov N. (Pen),
1, Zinkov V. (Pen),
2, Dudkin S. (Pen),
2, Kul R. (Pen),
3, Salnikov I. (Pen),
3, Sultonov M. (Pen),
4, Rashchupkin D. (Pen),
4, Fedorov Z. (Pen),
5, Mingazov A. (Pen),
5, Sukhomlinov D. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Dynamo Vladivostok is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shinnik is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Dynamo Vladivostok is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Vladivostok
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
21.09.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Dynamo Vladivostok - Zenit Penza	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Spartak Tambov - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
04.09.24	Dynamo Vladivostok - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
01.09.24	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Shinnik - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Shinnik - Ufa	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Sokol Saratov - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTWTW

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