Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 7

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)

Referee: Karpov Y. (Rus)


	Shinnik		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.75
	2.81	3.02	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.01 ↓ (3.5)	2.69 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
33.3%

Draw
31.5%

Alania Vladikavkaz
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alania Vladikavkaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alania Vladikavkaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Vambolt D. (G) 38. Aleynikov V. 27. Chernyi A. 11. Fedorov Z. 7. Gbamble N. 24. Jonathan J. 2. Kosogorov A. 91. Skvortsov L. 8. Sukhomlinov D. 89. Zagre B. 5. Zinkov V. (C)	1. Soldatenko R. (G) 9. Abdokov N. 5. Bagaev A. 19. Butaev A. 37. Gagloev T. 7. Gurtsiev B. 8. Khugaev A. 22. Moskalenchik I. 6. Tarba Z. 2. Tataev A. 15. Tsallagov I. (C)
Substitutes
19. Fofana S. 14. Kalinin G. 70. Kul R. 84. Kuzminykh N. 55. Lauk M. 61. Malakhov A. 51. Mitrov T. (G) 90. Shakuro P. 46. Sinitsyn E. 4. Yakushevich G. 10. Zhamaletdinov T.	14. Chimezie W. 11. Chochiev A. 70. Daurov R. 12. Gubiev E. 10. Khadartsev B. 77. Kokoev D. 27. Makarov S. 76. Nafikov V. 23. Natabashvili G. (G)
Coaches
Cheryshev D.	Tazabaev S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tsallagov I. 🟨,
40', Gbamble N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fedorov Z. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
46', Gagloev T. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
53', Gbamble N. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
53', Sukhomlinov D. ↓, Kul R. ↑,
55', Khugaev A. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
59', Skvortsov L. ↓, Shakuro P. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Aleynikov V. ⚽,
66', Gurtsiev B. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
67', Abdokov N. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
68', Zinkov V. ↓, Yakushevich G. ↑,
77', Jonathan J. 🟨,
79', Tarba Z. ↓, Khadartsev B. ↑,
83', Bagaev A. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 0.

Shinnik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alania is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Shinnik won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Shinnik won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
17.08.24	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Shinnik - Sochi	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Shinnik - Tyumen	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Ural - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLL
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
17.08.24	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
28.07.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
21.07.24	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
04.05.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	1:1
06.11.23	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3
22.04.23	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1
01.10.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	3:1
11.04.21	Shinnik - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1
17.10.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Shinnik	4:4

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