Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Düren		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.9	2.7
	1.89	3.45	3.1
	1.94	3.65	2.95
	2.02	3.8	3.27
	2.04	4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	3.76 ↓ (3.95)	2.97 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Düren
45.7%

Draw
24%

Bergisch Gladbach
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

22.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

17.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Düren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bergisch Gladbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Düren than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Düren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergisch Gladbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Düren - Bergisch Gladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2).

Düren is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bergisch Gladbach is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Düren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Düren will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Düren won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Düren won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1.FC Düren
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
13.11.21	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Düren	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Düren - Borussia Freialdenhoven	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Frechen - Düren	3:1 ✺
24.10.21	Düren - Hürth	5:2 ✺
17.10.21	Hennef 05 - Düren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWLWW
- Bergisch Gladbach
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
14.11.21	Bergisch Gladbach - Deutz	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	VfL Alfter - Bergisch Gladbach	0:5 ✺
31.10.21	Bergisch Gladbach - Pesch	3:2 ✺
24.10.21	Glesch-Paffendorf - Bergisch Gladbach	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Bergisch Gladbach - Breinig	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
31.03.19	Düren - Bergisch Gladbach	1:1
23.09.18	Bergisch Gladbach - Düren	5:3

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