Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	EC Noroeste		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.8	2.85	2.5
	2.84	2.91	2.54
	2.9	2.88	2.38
	2.85	3.15	2.46	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.14)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	2.42 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
31.7%

Draw
30.5%

Grêmio Novorizontino
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

30.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

30.6%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

EC Noroeste - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Noroeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novorizontino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.03.23	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	0:0 ✺
17.03.23	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	EC Noroeste - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Portuguesa Santista - EC Noroeste	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLWW
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.03.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Taubaté - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
01.03.23	Velo Clube - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
25.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - EC Noroeste	2:2

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