Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA PAULISTA - ROUND 7

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday


	EC Noroeste		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	1.97	3.23	3.95
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	1.87	3.32	4
	1.97	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.35)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	3.6 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
46.1%

Draw
28.4%

Mirassol
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC Noroeste's performance.

Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mirassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC Noroeste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EC Noroeste - Mirassol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Noroeste is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mirassol is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Noroeste will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Copa Paulista
05.08.23	Grêmio Prudente - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	1:3 ✺
23.07.23	EC Noroeste - Marília	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	EC Noroeste - São Bento	0:0 ✺
10.07.23	Mirassol - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTT
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
11.08.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
07.08.23	Mirassol - São Bento	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.08.23	Mirassol - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
01.08.23	Mirassol - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
29.07.23	Marília - Mirassol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
10.07.23	Mirassol - EC Noroeste	1:1

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