Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 8

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Araujo V. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Mirassol		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.75
	1.39	4.2	6.8
	1.41	4.5	7.86
	1.42	4.38	7.56	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.39	4.47	7.94	Watch
	1.39	4.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.37 ↑ (3.95)	7.46 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mirassol
66.3%

Draw
21.3%

EC Noroeste
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.4%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Mirassol - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alex Muralha (C) 19. Lucas Ramon 33. Alan Empereur 14. David Braz 6. Reinaldo 25. Neto Moura 8. Danielzinho 11. Negueba 27. Gabriel 10. Chico Kim 77. Iury Castilho	27. Felipe Alves (G) 30. Rodolfo Filemon 5. Jonatas Paulista 44. Maycon (C) 2. Cicinho 21. Matheus Blade 26. Dudu Miraima 66. Maykon Jesus 7. Pedro Felipe 9. Carlao 37. Thiago Lopes
Substitutes
29. Clayson 20. Daniel Borges 13. Diego Goncalves 17. Guilherme Pato 50. Gustavo Lacerda (G) 3. Jemmes 21. Jose Aldo 9. Leo Gamalho 7. Matheus Davo 5. Roni 90. Thomazella (G) 37. Zeca	51. Adriano Filho 17. Buiu 3. Carlinhos 15. Diego Maia 12. Felipe Rodrigues 1. Fernando Henrique (G) 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 99. Jenison 55. Leo Costa 11. Luiz Thiago 22. Renan Araujo
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Moises Egert

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Thiago Lopes ↓, Adriano Filho ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Chico Kim ↓, Clayson ↑,
58', Gabriel ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
65', Cicinho ↓, Felipe Rodrigues ↑,
72', Negueba ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Leo Gamalho (Pen),
80', Maykon Jesus ↓, Diego Maia ↑,
80', Matheus Blade ↓, Jenison ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Maycon ⚽, Dudu Miraima (A),
86', Neto Moura 🟨,
90', Dudu Miraima 🟨,
90+2', Iury Castilho ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
90+2', Lucas Ramon ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,

Preview

Mirassol is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Noroeste is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mirassol is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mirassol to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mirassol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.02.25	São Paulo - Mirassol	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Velo Clube - Mirassol	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Mirassol - Guarani	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Mirassol - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
23.01.25	São Bernardo - Mirassol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.02.25	EC Noroeste - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Corinthians - EC Noroeste	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	EC Noroeste - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Guarani - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
11.08.23	EC Noroeste - Mirassol	2:0
10.07.23	Mirassol - EC Noroeste	1:1

Upcoming Matches