Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 7

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfredo de Castilho (Bauru)

Referee: Marques D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	EC Noroeste		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.28	2.85	3.15	Watch
	2.35	3.06	3.36
	2.3	3.02	3.33	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.23	3.13	3.18	Watch
	2.28	2.85	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.34)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	3.25 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
40.6%

Draw
30.9%

Ponte Preta
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

EC Noroeste - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Noroeste will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Felipe Alves (G) 3. Carlinhos 44. Maycon 12. Felipe Rodrigues 4. Luizao (C) 66. Maykon Jesus 26. Dudu Miraima 88. Denner 37. Thiago Lopes 9. Carlao 7. Pedro Felipe	1. Pedro Rocha (G) 26. Concha V. 6. Sergio Raphael 44. Nilson Junior 28. Pacheco 27. Luiz Felipe 8. Dudu 25. Lucas Candido (C) 20. Joao Gabriel 29. Everton Brito 77. Bruno Lopes
Substitutes
51. Adriano Filho 17. Buiu 50. DG 15. Diego Maia 1. Fernando Henrique (G) 94. Jeferson Romario (G) 99. Jenison 5. Jonatas Paulista 55. Leo Costa 11. Luiz Thiago 21. Matheus Blade 22. Renan Araujo	90. Darnlei 21. Jhonny Lucas 19. Lopes Telles G. 2. Maguinho 35. Pedrinho 31. Victor Andrade 34. Vitoriano K. 30. William (G)
Coaches
Paulo Comelli	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Luizao ↓, Renan Araujo ↑,
26', Renan Araujo 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Bruno Lopes ⚽, Luiz Felipe (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Renan Araujo ↓, DG ↑,
46', Denner ↓, Jonatas Paulista ↑,
48', Jonatas Paulista 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Bruno Lopes (Pen),
60', 1 - 2, Pedro Felipe ⚽,
61', Bruno Lopes 🟨,
61', Dudu ↓, Maguinho ↑,
64', Bruno Lopes ↓, Darnlei ↑,
69', Pedro Felipe ↓, Adriano Filho ↑,
73', Everton Brito ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
73', Lucas Candido ↓, Lopes Telles G. ↑,
76', Felipe Rodrigues ↓, Matheus Blade ↑,
88', Pedro Rocha 🟨,

Preview

Noroeste is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ponte Preta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noroeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.02.25	Corinthians - EC Noroeste	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	EC Noroeste - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Guarani - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	EC Noroeste - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	EC Noroeste - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLTT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
02.02.25	Água Santa - Ponte Preta	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Ponte Preta - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Internacional de Limeira - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.03.23	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:0

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