Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 24 May 2026, SundayLocation: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)
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 |
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EC São José Porto Alegre |
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Náutico Marcílio Dias |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.59 |
2.66 |
3.16 |
|
 |
2.92 |
2.45 |
2.97 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.56 |
2.47 |
3.28 |
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 |
2.85 |
2.8 |
2.35 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.7) |
2.56 ↓
(2.7) |
2.97 ↑
(2.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
EC São José Porto Alegre
33.9% | Draw
35.6% | Náutico Marcílio Dias
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+0.9%)EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. EC São José (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Igor Cassio ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 69', 1 - 1, Bruno Boca ⚽,
Preview
Recent performances by EC São José have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Marcílio Dias is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).EC São José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).Including home match between the teams, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 18.04.26 | Náutico Marcílio Dias - EC São José Porto Alegre | 2:1 | | 27.07.25 | EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias | 1:1 | | 19.04.25 | Náutico Marcílio Dias - EC São José Porto Alegre | 0:0 |
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