Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Londrina		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.75	3.2
	2.45	2.8	3
	2.2	2.65	3.6
	2.25	2.86	3.77
	2.25	2.8	3.3
	2.24	2.95	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.14)	2.8 ↓ (3.13)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
40.2%

Draw
32.7%

EC São José Porto Alegre
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

19.4%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Londrina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Londrina - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Londrina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently EC São José Porto Alegre have a series of home games.

Londrina will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
05.09.20	Londrina - São Bento	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Londrina - Boa Esporte	2:0 ✺
23.08.20	Ituano - Londrina	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Ypiranga - Londrina	2:1 ✺
10.08.20	Londrina - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTLT
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
12.09.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Boa Esporte	0:0 ✺
05.09.20	Ituano - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:2 ✺
30.08.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Volta Redonda	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.08.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
20.08.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTLWW

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