Match Info

League Two - Round 28

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: K-Park Training Academy (East Kilbride)


	East Kilbride		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	4
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.62	4.15	4.25
	1.69	4.15	4.15
	1.67	4.22	4	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.4
	1.69	4.19	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)	4.09 ↓ (4.12)	4.17 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Kilbride
55.6%

Draw
22.4%

Elgin City
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

22.4%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

East Kilbride - Elgin City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elgin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hepburn C. (G) 5. Fagan S. 2. Young S. 20. Breen R. 3. Kyle A. 10. Robertson J. 25. Spence L. 19. Robertson K. 7. Mcluckie B. 8. Balde J. 11. Young C.	1. Ritchie T. (G) 12. Cairns O. 16. Neill M. 6. Murray J. (C) 19. Ross D. 4. Virtanen M. 17. Hyde L. 20. Spalding A. 26. Hickey R. 24. Walker J. 9. Hester K.
Substitutes
16. Dobbie L. 12. Foster K. 4. Hamilton J. 6. Leitch J. 23. McGregor J. 21. Morrison J. (G) 22. Strachan B.	8. Cameron B. 7. Dingwall R. 10. Gallagher M. 5. Girvan K. 27. Machado M. 14. Mercer J. 11. Sargent R. 21. Taylor C. (G) 25. Thompson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Robertson K. ⚽,
17', Hyde L. ↓, Sargent R. ↑,
22', 2 - 0, Fagan S. ⚽, Robertson J. (A),
40', Ross D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 3 - 0, Robertson K. ⚽, Robertson J. (A),
57', Robertson K. ↓, Leitch J. ↑,
57', Breen R. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
64', Robertson J. ↓, Foster K. ↑,
64', Hickey R. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
72', Young S. 🟨,
73', Balde J. ↓, Dobbie L. ↑,
78', Ross D. ↓, Thompson R. ↑,
78', Hester K. ↓, Mercer J. ↑,
78', Cairns O. ↓, Cameron B. ↑,
81', Mercer J. 🟨,

Preview

East Kilbride has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Elgin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elgin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, East Kilbride has had a series of away games.

In this match, East Kilbride is a strong favorite.

We predict that East Kilbride will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, East Kilbride won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:2. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, East Kilbride won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Elgin City: 11.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14

Last Results with these Odds

East Kilbride - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.17%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League Two
28.02.26	Clyde - East Kilbride	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	East Kilbride - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Elgin City - East Kilbride	1:6 ✺
14.02.26	Annan Athletic - East Kilbride	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Edinburgh City - East Kilbride	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
28.02.26	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Elgin City - East Kilbride	1:6 ✺
10.02.26	Clyde - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
17.02.26	Elgin City - East Kilbride	1:6
18.10.25	East Kilbride - Elgin City	3:0
09.08.25	Elgin City - East Kilbride	0:1
Scottish League Cup
19.07.25	Elgin City - East Kilbride	1:4

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